Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 5.803430e-06 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011
2025-03-02 4.845905e-06 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013
2025-03-09 4.156502e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000016
2025-03-16 3.671898e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019
2025-03-23 3.306713e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022
2025-03-30 2.925763e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000025
2025-04-06 2.656446e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000030
2025-04-13 2.386844e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000019 0.000033
2025-04-20 2.204346e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000021 0.000038
2025-04-27 2.074952e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000045
2025-05-04 1.936977e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000025 0.000051
2025-05-11 1.831885e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000027 0.000060
2025-05-18 1.716099e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000029 0.000069
2025-05-25 1.596013e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000031 0.000079
2025-06-01 1.489578e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000033 0.000089
2025-06-08 1.408723e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000036 0.000103
2025-06-15 1.342896e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000040 0.000121
2025-06-22 1.253332e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000041 0.000134
2025-06-29 1.188909e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000044 0.000153
2025-07-06 1.112755e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000017 0.000046 0.000167
2025-07-13 1.062179e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000018 0.000049 0.000192
2025-07-20 1.027543e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000054 0.000228
2025-07-27 9.843690e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000008 0.000019 0.000058 0.000263